Thanks @ChunkyMono , after that was mentioned I figured out how to check and verified I was on normal mode.
Nysha 9 (my first nysha medal)
Cedric = 168 (42%)
All others = 232 (58%)
435 collected at L12
70 (16%) Gaard
99 (23%) Yasmine
182 (42%) Cedric
54 (12%) Aranaea
23 (5.2%) Anu
7 (1.6%) Nysha
219 at difficulty 12:
|Gaard: 29 Tokens (Common)||13.2%|
|Yasmine: 36 Tokens (Rare)||16.4%|
|Cedric: 101 Tokens (Ultra-Rare)||46.1%|
|Aranaea: 33 Tokens (Epic)||15.1%|
|Anu: 11 Tokens (Legendary)||5.0%|
|Nysha: 9 Tokens (Mythic)||4.1%|
LOL I haven’t even equipped anything yet, except that forced Cedric token/badge.
I decided to compile the data of everyone doing big sets (going upward from the bottom up to Neritars set, avoiding duplicates)
Total Samples: 2393
|Drop Rate Esimate (95% CL)||15.62%~19.12%||20.73%~24.59%||39.56%~44.13%||10.57%~13.57%||3.99%~5.98%||1.63%~2.99%|
If the rates of Cedrics aren’t intended to drop ~40%+, then something is probably wrong, since we are fairly confident they do. We have a 99.9999% confidence level that the true rate of cedrics token drops falls between about 36.5% and 46.5% based on our sample size, so if the “true rate” is supposed to be anything lower than 36%, well, something is absolutely wrong.
We can’t know if something is wrong based on this because we don’t know how it is supposed to be. Not likely this will result in a change for the better if it is wrong and it does get noticed… but, based on other stuff that has flown under the radar for ridiculous lengths of time, I think drop rate discussions are on auto-filter for all the staff unless they are directly reported as a bug. And its not going to be me for this one, I don’t feel like having to lobby just for what would, best case, probably result in a nerf, and worst case, be wasted effort. Nysha numbers look depressing, but probably intentionally so.
I am okay with Cedric (ultra-rare) dropping more often than Gaard (common) or Yasmine (rare). When upgrading troops, you can use any medal of a higher rarity to guarantee success at any of the three eliteness tiers. I upgraded my Tigraki Warrior on a whim, and I used a Medal of Cedric for gold rather than the three Medals of Yasmine it would have otherwise taken to hit 100% upgrade chance.
We know that eventually kingdom power levels will require upgraded troops, so I am quite happy if the game showers us with ultra-rare medals in place of common/rare medals that are effective on fewer troops.
Now, with all that said, I do think the rate of Epic and higher needs to be adjusted. 2% chance for a token of Nysha means that almost* nobody will be upgrading mythic troops.
*I am sure there are some users dedicated enough to grinding that they can earn the 6 Medals of Nysha needed to upgrade their mythic troop. But they are a minority of a minority.
The rarer they make Nysha medals the more people will buy the inevitable flash offers. I really truly hate this type of ftp sales model.