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Token of Cedric, drop rate awry?

195 Tokens Collected
32 Gaard - 16%
51 Yasmine - 26%
74 cedric - 38%
26 Aranaea - 13%
11 Anu - 6%
1 Nysha - 1%

all farmed at L12

Exactly 400 tokens collected on Difficulty 12:
82 Gaard - 20.5%
78 Yasmine - 19.5%
166 Cedric - 41.5%
44 Aranaea - 11%
26 Anu - 6.5%
4 Nysha - 1%

(Edit: Updated from 200 tokens collected to 400)

Updated total tokens:
8 Gaard
13 Yasmine
28 Cedric
5 Aranea
2 Anu
1 Nysha

I guess this is what happens at difficulty 12 …?

4 Anu tokens, 0 Nysha. Rest all Yasmine, Cedric, Gaard. And I fight D12 95% of the time. It SHOULD scale with difficulty level, but it’s clearly not.

Huh, looks like I’m getting lucky with Nsyha but unlucky with Anu. I have 115 in total so far.

Count Percentage
Gaard: 18 Tokens (Common) 15.7%
Yasmine: 18 Tokens (Rare) 15.7%
Cedric: 52 Tokens (Ultra-Rare) 45.2%
Aranaea: 19 Tokens (Epic) 16.5%
Anu: 4 Tokens (Legendary) 3.5%
Nysha: 4 Tokens (Mythic) 3.5%

250 Collected

41 Gaard
70 Yasmine
93 Cedric
27 Aranaea
7 Anu
12 Nysha

Difficulty 12 and some luck with the Nysha medals

120 so far

Gaard 22
Yasmine 34
Cedric 45
Aranaea 11
Anu 6
Nysha 2

My totals thus far:
Gaard 12
Yasmine 7
Cedric 34
Aranaea 10
Anu 8
Nysha 0

Cedric=34
All others=37

Gaard 33
Yasmine 27
Cedric 75
Aranaea 15
Anu 8
Nysha 2

Cedric = 75
All others = 85

Mine so far (98 total):

Gaard - 22
Yasmine - 18
Cedric - 40
Aranea - 16
Anu - 2
Nysha - 0

33 Gaard
48 Yasmine
67 Cedric
13 Aranea
6 Anu
7 Nysha

I guess difficulty levels scale token rewards like higher levels of keys … difficulty 12 = “gem key” analogues where the thing defaults to Ultra-rares? Yeah I’m grasping at straws here, beats me.

No, I don’t think it does. Once I got it high enough, I’ve only done D10 or D12, and have zero mythic tokens to show for it.

I didn’t see anybody answer you directly, so go to casual pvp and set to normal. No need to do explore on warlord iv. Unless u want to.

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Thanks @ChunkyMono , after that was mentioned I figured out how to check and verified I was on normal mode.

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Gaard 67
Yasmine 90
Cedric 168
Aranaea 50
Anu 16
Nysha 9 (my first nysha medal)

Cedric = 168 (42%)
All others = 232 (58%)

435 collected at L12

70 (16%) Gaard
99 (23%) Yasmine
182 (42%) Cedric
54 (12%) Aranaea
23 (5.2%) Anu
7 (1.6%) Nysha

219 at difficulty 12:

Count Percentage
Gaard: 29 Tokens (Common) 13.2%
Yasmine: 36 Tokens (Rare) 16.4%
Cedric: 101 Tokens (Ultra-Rare) 46.1%
Aranaea: 33 Tokens (Epic) 15.1%
Anu: 11 Tokens (Legendary) 5.0%
Nysha: 9 Tokens (Mythic) 4.1%

LOL I haven’t even equipped anything yet, except that forced Cedric token/badge.

I decided to compile the data of everyone doing big sets (going upward from the bottom up to Neritars set, avoiding duplicates)

Total Samples: 2393

Submitter C R U E L M
Voq 29 36 101 33 11 9
HugeOgre 70 99 182 54 23 7
Fleg 67 90 168 50 16 9
TheIdleOne 33 48 67 13 6 7
Avathar 22 18 40 16 2 0
Clark 12 7 34 10 8 0
Mithran 24 43 70 21 9 2
Laenir 22 34 45 11 6 2
Redi1 41 70 93 27 7 12
Shimrra 8 13 28 5 2 1
Neritar 82 78 166 44 26 4
TOTALS 410 536 994 284 116 53
AVG% 17.13% 22.40% 41.54% 11.87% 4.85% 2.21%
Drop Rate Esimate (95% CL) 15.62%~19.12% 20.73%~24.59% 39.56%~44.13% 10.57%~13.57% 3.99%~5.98% 1.63%~2.99%

If the rates of Cedrics aren’t intended to drop ~40%+, then something is probably wrong, since we are fairly confident they do. We have a 99.9999% confidence level that the true rate of cedrics token drops falls between about 36.5% and 46.5% based on our sample size, so if the “true rate” is supposed to be anything lower than 36%, well, something is absolutely wrong.

However…

We can’t know if something is wrong based on this because we don’t know how it is supposed to be. Not likely this will result in a change for the better if it is wrong and it does get noticed… but, based on other stuff that has flown under the radar for ridiculous lengths of time, I think drop rate discussions are on auto-filter for all the staff unless they are directly reported as a bug. And its not going to be me for this one, I don’t feel like having to lobby just for what would, best case, probably result in a nerf, and worst case, be wasted effort. Nysha numbers look depressing, but probably intentionally so.

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