Well, in the over 10000 of both keys and gems I’ve spent, I’ve had two total drop. Judging from the new metrics of what is going to be available to gain per week, period, I’d be lucky to get one every few months. I currently have already missed three mythics during their target weeks. I’m okay with not getting anything, but having stuff be that ridiculously rare to drop in the first place, in realms of maybe seeing one every few months, and then have it not be the one I want (or worse, a duplicate) is rather irritating. With new ones apparently coming every month, I’ll only have about a 1 drop for every three released. Also fine. What isn’t fine is if I happen to get a bunch of duplicates, and end up with none of the others. Especially the ones required for kingdoms.
And while it is a relief to hear that the kingdom mythics will be available in event chests when the targeted kingdom rolls around, if drop the ratios are the same as in gem chests, the price tag is still higher than during the initial exclusive week and you’ll get tons more stuff in the process that is utterly useless (250+ copies of the same ultra rare, etc). This is especially worrysome since, as I said, if I had the resources to get them to drop up front, it would have been a non-issue and be cheaper overall in terms of what I had to spend, with a more useful spread of other stuff gained in the process (for me, anyway, since I still have a bunch of stuff that needs ascending). This only serves to widen the gap between the very top players (many of whom will probably have stockpiled enough that the task changes will take a while to dwindle their reserves even as they continue to pull every mythic), and everyone else (including my 5 mil+ weekly donation guild, apparently still in the top 2% of the playerbase, many of whom are nearly flat broke going into the new economy and still missing several mythics, of which I am the highest level and almost always the biggest contributor, and almost certainly get the most extra gems per week from tributes) - not close it.
And before anyone says anything, no, its not the same as glory packs. Glory packs were always so cheap as to be a reward for simply playing the game at the time of release, mythics require top guild level of task turn over or months of saving for even those at near top to even attempt to get one, on average, without a total RNG asspull.
Again, totally okay with not having them and getting them at a lower rate than they come in, especially the ones not necessary for kingdom stars. Will most definitely be more than a little irritated if (when) I happen to pull a duplicate Mythic when I have to hunt for Drakkulis randomly if/when he does end up being a star bottleneck for me. What is his estimated chance of pulling him at this point on average, 1 in 25000 glory keys? 1 in 2500 gem chests? 1 in 250 VIP chests? or take the hit during the next Ghulvania event, where I already have everything else mythic, and essentially buy him straight up for… an average of 500 event keys - usually enough to mythic everything else in the kingdom even if it weren’t already, and probably ten times over for the ultra-rares? Numbers are estimates, obviously, and we all know how averages work. Hell, I could pull him in the single next glory key I spend, but that doesn’t mean I earned it (even though, currently, I’m well behind the numbers stated above in terms of drops), and it still wouldn’t feel right to me. I’d be more relieved to not be janked by the RNG than happy I got a bonus.