I’ve got my first set of numbers from 20 Arena runs done last week-- that’s way more than I usually do, I’ll keep adding to this list but probably not at the same rate:
A few notes:
• DB appeared in about 30% of the matches I played, about the same % I’m seeing from other reports. That’s 2 or 3 in an 8 match run, on average.
• Sorry to be a dissenting opinion, but have a look at the results I got. I won 96.6% of all matches that didn’t involve DB. But I also won 87.5% of matches against DB teams! I’m a pretty good player, but I’m not some kind of match-3 savant. If I can post numbers like this, then most people can, if they try.
• What am I doing differently? I don’t know! The only thing I can really point to is that I use Summer’s Fury as my hero weapon in Arena. I think it’s much, much better than Runic Blade, especially vs DB teams, but no one agrees with me. Maybe I pick better troops? I’m keeping track of the ones I use, but didn’t include them here as 20 runs is too small a sample size to start puzzling that one out.
• My win % vs DB was higher than I expected. I had estimated that I lost 25% of matches vs DB… the actual loss rate was exactly half that. I have an intuition that everyone is overestimating DB’s appearance and win rates. It’s simple human nature-- our brains are wired to overvalue the exceptions. You have to actually document the numbers to get a true assessment.
CONCLUSION: DawnBringer is NOT particularly OP and does NOT ‘unbalance’ Arena. It just puts some challenge back in the game.
Instead of posting 500 comments in the Forums whining at the devs to make the game easier, if people devoted their time to figuring out how to beat DB, the issue would disappear. Just my opinion, YMMV…