Yes, there’s something wrong - it’s not giving enough.
So there.
It actually seems to be two rolls, one based on the base tribute chance and one based on the statue bonus. If at least one succeeds you get the tribute.
I’m not sure how well you know the history of tribute calculation. Word of advice, there’s nothing to be gained from your analysis except disappointment, you might want to avoid this topic.
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Yes, it immediately brought this to mind…