I won’t speak for AWR but it’s not specific to the opponent.
What I’m specifically complaining about is if I play a Mercy team, yellow and purple simply never line up for me. I’m pretty sure in the history of the game I’ve never seen it happen for Gimlet. For some reason, Ishbaala and Qilin work fine, and Moon Rabbit occasionally.
The reason this bugs me is most success in this game relies heavily on a fast mana start, and nothing’s faster than an Empowered converter. The situation AWR got himself into looks like what happens when you take a gamble on a dodgy-looking cast and the cascades go wrong for you. Happens to me occasionally. With respect to this:
In PvP, sure. I get to play 100+ games per week and that means if I see even 10 really bad games, they’re drowned out by the good games or at least the constant stream of not-notable games.
In GW, I get to play 30 matches per month. So if 5 of them go bad for me as they did so far this week, that’s 16% of my matches that I had no chance of winning. “5 unlucky matches out of 30” isn’t exactly an uncommon streak if I consider “all 10k matches I’ve ever played”. It is, as you said, balanced out by streaks where I get 5 really lucky matches out of 30.
But in PvP, the stakes are low. 5 losses don’t really matter in the big picture. In GW, it’s very different. 1 loss can be brutal. So when you run into 5 bad-luck matches within your first 10, it really sours your perception the rest of the week.
You’re being logical and valid and correct, but you’re talking to emotional people. No matter how many times you say, “Bad luck is all in your mind, use Vulcan logic and you’ll always be happy!” I’m still going to be angry and sour about the bad luck, plus probably bitter and sour because your logical advice boils down to “suck it up” whether that’s the intent or not.
I agree with your logic, but I’m being irrational right now and it’d honestly be a lot nicer to say, “Yeah man, I had a terrible GW week like this once too, I dang near threw my phone in the trash. Luck ain’t always a lady, is she?”