This is the post I base it on: Short testing of resurrection rates - #7 by akots
I haven’t seen @akots post an analysis of stuff in a while but I always looked forward to the math posts. I myself argued with this analysis at first, but when I went to look up the algorithms in question I found that outside sources verify these tests are proven to determine, from a small sample size, whether an event is independent.
This is important because if events are not independent, normal probability does not apply and things do not behave the way most people understand probability.
I imagine akots quit posting such analysis because “shrug” is about the best response I ever saw to it. Most people looked at it, decided it was wrong, and didn’t even bother to go read about the math and whether people who do statistics for a living trust them.
Anyway, the only “change” I want to push for (because fixing an RNG is a difficult prospect) is I’d still love to see free turns capped or a mode without them. Again: they make me angry far more often than they make me happy.