As long as it’s not 50 gems. I’ve got plenty of gem keys for charity.
There are a lot of variables going on. “This looks weird” needs some qualification. I just looked over the top 10 and they all have a 90% or better win rate, but that also seems consistent over the top 100, including some people I recognize and trust aren’t cheating. So the most suspicious thing is #1’s 98% win rate right now, but I didn’t think 90% was achievable until today so
Next is “time spent”. Everyone complains that 1.5 minutes per match sounds too fast for a PvP. So I put a stopwatch to 5 matches. I finished in 3 minutes, 46 seconds, or 226 seconds, or right at 0.75 minutes per match. Wow, it’s like playing thousands of PvP matches made me aware of how quickly a match should go. Let’s talk about what I did.
I could just pick 3 trophy matches. But I didn’t. The rankings aren’t just number of wins, they look at PvP points. Hmm. #1 has 75,594 total points. If I’m assuming defense wins/losses are similar to attack wins/losses, that adds up to 61.5 points per win. My 3 trophy match is +51. That’s a little fishy.
Here’s my work. Correct me if it’s wrong, I’d like to be accurate.
But quick, can you show me the algorithm for calculating PvP score so we can figure an upper bound? Ah, it’s a black box. We can’t know it so we can’t detect cheaters with this measure. I do know certain things like your guild can affect PvP rewards. Maybe there are guilds specifically set up to yield higher PvP points. I don’t know. Let’s just sit on this figure.
Anyway, I think an average of between 0.75 minutes and 1 minute per match is expected if you’re going to hit this leaderboard. How long does it take to play 1,190 matches? At that rate, between 14.875 and 19.833 hours. That’s not super suspicious, given that there have been about 30 total hours since then. I pushed a 10 hour Xenoblade Chronicles 2 session on Saturday, I have no doubt someone who wants to be on a leaderboard can spend 12-14 per day. In fact, I know someone who did well on the leaderboard one week and they claimed they were playing 14 hours daily.
So here’s where I sit in terms of “rampant cheating” based on the people you are demanding be investigated:
- A 90% or higher win rate seems common among leaderboard-bound players. #1 currently has a 98% win rate. I’ve never achieved that, but I don’t see widespread “this is impossible” among players.
- The amount of time spent to play the volume of games required is obsessive but within human boundaries.
- I can’t find a way to average as many PvP points per match as these people, but I also don’t know what factors affect it and I used to get that many PvP points.
Nothing about this jumps out to me as a super-pressing issue. Do some math. Show your work. If it’s so obvious that cheating is happening, where is the evidence? I fully admit I only casually watch the leaderboard. If you come back with some math that shows superhuman/impossible feats, I’ll agree.