0/22 how long do i keep playing?

[canadademon]

Here’s the probability chart:

More dragon egg issues

After pulling yet another dupe today, I realized that I was overcomplicating this problem. If I have X out of 6 dragons after Y pulls, the probability of me getting a new one is (6-X)/6. This is more easily written as a recursive function. Let P(x,y) be the probability of having x dragons after y pulls. Obviously P(1,1) = 1, as a base. Let’s say I have 4 dragons after 7 pulls. After 8, I have a 2/6 chance of getting 5, 4/6 of remaining at 4. (x,y) has a (x/6) chance to become (x,y+1), (6-x)/6 …

36 eggs is the first time you hit 99% probability.

By 50 you should have it for sure.

I got tired of waiting for dragonite (and Tacet has a tendancy to build teams with dragons) so I spent some and happened to get the gem dragon group in 15 eggs. Still haven’t built the weapons yet because I want to get the celestial group first.

Good luck.