When Orbs of Chaos were first introduced to the game the were 3ish Opportunities per month to get an Orb of Ascension at “random”. I was able to find a few on occasion, I could even combine minor into Major. Now we have nearly TRIPLE the chances with all the Events running all the time. But Orbs of Assension are more difficult to obtain with far more Events running.
Something doesn’t add up.
There is no way the percentage for an Assension is the same as Orb release. Either the Developers secretly nerfed the percentage or accidently reduced it with an update.