rare: 10 writs
common: 5 topaz
Common
5 sapphires
20 shards
1x token of Yasmine
1x torch
Rare
1x token of Nysha
2 torches
Ultra-Rare
2x token of Gaard
2 torches
Epic
2 torches
White question mark should be empty end as Area 1 already has 3 treasure rooms, I’m not willing to buy a torch pack to make sure.
Looks to me like 9 treasure rooms and 15 empty ends - I’m not impressed at all, to be honest.
Common
–2 Minor Wind Traitstones
–2 Minor Wind Traitstones
–Token of Yasmine x1
Rare
–Token of Anu x1
Epic
–Vault Key
yikes, that’s some robbery. hopefully you didn’t have to buy too many torches from the lack of action
Common - 1 anu token
Common - 2 minor fire traitstones
Common - 20 shards
Rare -10 writs
Epic - 2 Gaard tokens
Ultra Rare - 2 Gaard tokend
common: 5 garnet


Here is all mine combinet. Hope you make sense of them Nerdie
Monday -
Common: 2 minor traitstones
Wednesday -
Rare: 2 torches
Thursday -
Common: 2 minor traitstones
Common: 2 minor traitstones
Saturday -
Mythic: 3 token of aranaea
Ultra-Rare: 2 token of anu
Ultra-Rare: 2 token of nysha
Rare: 3 minor traitstones
Sunday -
Epic: 1 vault key
Mythic: 5 diamonds
Common: 2 minor traitstones
Ultra-Rare: 2 nysha tokens
Ultra-Rare: 2 bone trinkets
Common - 2 Minor Water Traitstones
Common - 2 Minor Fire Traitstones
Common - 2 Minor Wind Traitstones
Common - 5 Sapphires
Rare - 10 Topazes
UR - 2 Token of Yasmine
UR - 3 Runic Fire Traitstones
Epic - 2 Torches
Epic - 2 Token of Gaard
Epic - 2 Token of Orpheus
Legendary - 3 Torches
Legendary:
3x Torches
Epic:
20 Amethysts
2 Torches
2 Torches
UR:
3 Runic stones
2 Torches
2 Torches
2 trinckets
Rare:
10 Sapphires
1 Gaard
3 minors
Common:
2 Minor stones
1 Torch
2 Minor stones
If “true probability” is supposed to be 50/50, you’ve landed on “unlucky” but not super spectacularly so. The odds of only getting 9-of-24 is low, but it’s not like those odds are “win the U.S. Powerball Lottery” unlikely.
But that also depends on some of the group’s assumptions being true. The odds of a dead end having a Sentinel/treasure room being 50/50. A limit of 3 Sentinels/treasure rooms per region.
Ultra-Rare - 2 torches
Ultra-Rare - 2 Wild trinkets
Ultra-Rare - 2 Bone trinkets
Common - 5 Emeralds
Common - 5 Amethysts
Common - 20 shards
Common - 20 shards
This week’s results:
Rare (area 1): 10 writs
Ultra Rare (area 1): 2 frost trinkets
Mythic (area 1): 3 Token of Yasmine
Common (area 2): 20 chaos shards
Epic (area 2): 2 wild trinkets
Rare (area 6): 3 minor Earth traitstones
I limited my Underspire spending this week – 150 x 5 + 50 x 2. I wouldn’t even have spent the 50 this morning except that my last torch this morning dropped me at an intersection with two Sentinels bordering it. Which is why I don’t have any Sentinel results from areas 3-5, because I managed to get through the Underspire pretty easily this week with a minimum of blind alleys – I managed to be very efficient in finding the gates between areas and then the dragons.
I just don’t see the Sentinel treasure chest Lottery as being worth spending Gems on. The rewards aren’t worth it to me unless I get a Sentinel from a chest, and the low odds of finding one combined with the primary kingdom progression impediment being Deeds means I don’t give it much value. I’d much rather save my Gems for Merchants and play Explore given I still have a sizable number of troops to medal. The Underspire dragons are worth it in that regard because I can get Glory Orbs out of them; the Sentinels just don’t offer anything really necessary or useful beyond the super-rare drop.
Common - 2 x Minor Water Traitstones
Common - 1 x Token of Orpheus
Rare - 2 x Torches
Epic - 2 x Torches
As always, fantastic hunting, everyone! I removed the Common drop Writs x10, as it was only reported once in 380 data points. I’ll put it back on if it’s reported more, especially if there’s a screenshot.
I assume you mean regular shards used in the Soulforge, not chaos shards, as those have not been reported in any of the drop pools. Can you confirm?
1227 results.
Sentinel drop rate estimate of 1.5% still holds.
Yeah, it’s Soulforge shards and not Chaos shards. My note-taking leaves something to be desired at times. (Not that I’m lacking in either category right now.)
This is starting to look dire… outside of the sentinels, it looks like only legendary and mythic guardians are worth taking. epics too I guess, but only if you want that vault key enough to gamble for it.
My personal plan is to do the rarest rooms first, then the others if/when I have extra torches. I’ll want the troops eventually, after all.
Area 1:
Rare: Token of Yasmine
Rare: 10 Writs
Mythic: 3x Token of Anu
common: 2 minor fire traitstones

