I know, half of my post is wrong because it was based on a misunderstanding of the official guide. I’m making a quick edit now and add a few things later when I have time to write something a more detailed.
I have recently had quite a streak of bad luck as it happens in a RNG heavy game like GoW.
It has come to the point that it became a problem. I’m completely out of the PvP meta.
What was a short (under 90min-2h) run to get to PvP rank 1 with 25 +/- 2 matches a month or two ago has become a 68 matches grind with a 38% loss rate and having to farm “easy” fights to get to rank 5 to 1.
Yes, I know. “git gud”, that’s what I trying to do.
So I talked with my guild mates and looked closely on the way to fix this and after a few research and calculations I came to the conclusion there is now way to catch up in this game at least without having to become a whale or roll really really well.
Here are the numbers I got, please let me know if you spot a mistake or if I missed something.
Missing something is quite a possibility IMO. I can’t see everything from the depth of my own salt mine — and it’s quite a deep one these days…
Currently I’m missing 21 mythic to get all the mythic troops. And here are the fact I gathered
A new mythic unit is released around every 4 weeks.
It takes 8 weeks to be able to craft a mythic in the soul forge for free, if you take the 50 gems bundle everyday and don’t miss a day in the dungeon.
So at best you can get one mythic every two month from that source.
Ignoring the fact you still have to wait for the mythic you’re looking for to drop in the forge and it’s getting longer and longer for the rotation to complete since the dev keep adding new mythic units.
With 39 mythic and counting, and 4 new units each week, that means with no added mythic it takes 10 week to fully rotate.
Disregard what is blurred, it’s completely wrong, see EDIT
- You can only accumulate 6k guild seals in a 4 weeks span (unless you burn guild orbs, IF you have some). (note: look for the orbs drop rate)
According to your own guide “NOTE: You will need to have earned more than 10,000 Guild Seals for Guild chests to have a chance to drop Mythic Troops.”
So that means that you can do that every two months too, unless RNG gives you 4k worth of guild orbs.
- Assuming you get the released mythic in 12k worth of level 5 guild chests every two months (the clan orbs can give you a bit more) AND assuming you can get the mythic you want in an eight weeks rotation in the forge.
Correctly timed, that means you can alternate those to source of drop to keep up with the monthly release timing. But that ONLY gives you a keep up with the release, not overtake it.
To get higher that this drop rate you have fall back to praying to RNGsus when you burn your gem/honor/event keys.
So that means from now on, I’ll probably always be behind the meta with little to no chance of going back in, short of a miracle on the chests I open. I really hope I’m missing something because I don’t see the point of me trying to get back on the treadmill and fail every month.