I think traistone farming needs to change (playing 3 hours without a single arcane)

I was thinking the timer would reset every time you get an arcane, so you could still get 3 arcanes in 5 explores if you’re lucky, but never go more than 40 without one.

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I understand your point of view but I’ve seen it work both ways as I commented on another thread. My last 150 explores yielded 2 arcane and a celestial (your 1 in 50) but that came after getting 6 in 50 (about 1 in 8). And it wouldn’t be the only time I’ve swept between feast and famine. I just keep it up as much as I can.

Like I said there as well, I know it doesnt help much but just sharing my own experiences since I’ve seen them drop often too.

I have had 4 drop in about 15 minutes before, so i know it goes both ways.

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I found one!

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i think a pity timer would help. I have a guildmate that needed weeks to complete her khorvash cuz she gets 1 shield ts in 3 days (as avarage). bottom line, she still has to finish traiting him. Also is very annoying going like more that 30 explorations and finding only useless minor/major TSs, lie just happened to me. 1 in 17 would be a bliss!

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@Mad_Butch

  1. I just made a thread about this a few days ago, for the XBOX ONE ONLY! Please.
    Has anyone Farmed Traitstones recently on the X1?
  2. I’ve played this game a long time and know what to expect drop rate wise. I have basically stopped doing ‘explores’ as the drop rate of Runic, Arcane, and Celestials Traitstones seems identical to PvP to me. I’m personally thinking there was a bug introduced by accident in the last update removing the x2 and x3 multiplier (on X1 for Explore). The developers have said they looked at things and the rate its ‘normal’. So maybe they’ll accidentally patch it in the next update.

THREE. I really don’t think a pity timer is necessary for 6% chance at something. As “explore” was never a frustrating until recently. Unless of course this ‘bug’ or ‘whatever’ is never fixed then it is ESSENTIAL to add one to the X1.

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I bet that lowering the drop rate to like 1:20 (for example) while adding a pity timer to keep the same overall rate of dropping would a) feel a whole lot more fair to the players, and b) not cause a disruption to the in-game economy.

you may not realize it but thats a terrible idea. you’d just end up with less arcanes in the long run.

I’m at the point where arcanes are the only stones i need to finish traiting everything so i explore a LOT. I’ll sometimes get 0 in 3hrs, but sometimes i also get 3 back to back. In the end, if you want to minimize the variance in arcanes dropped, you will have to play a lot. That’s the best way to balance out RNG.

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I couldn’t agree more about these bad streaks needing to have some way to be mitigated as they tend to be more impactful and stick with a player longer than the good streaks. Yes, it balances out long term, but if this were your first experience, it would more than likely sour you to the mode or maybe even the game.

The first step, though, would be some large scale data gathering to determine if the drop rate on your particular platform is actually broken or not. My claim of “about 1 in 17” on PC/Mobile comes from data gathering spanning months and I’m currently up to 210 recorded arcane drops (thousands of battles). My single biggest bad streak during this time between two arcane drops was 112 consecutive explores with no drop, but there have been several 50+ droughts. There have also been several times where I’ve seen two, or even three consecutive arcane drops. Having a few bad streaks doesn’t mean you don’t still have an overall 1 in 17 drop rate, it just means you haven’t done enough battles to actually trend toward the actual drop rate. And if the problem persists over a large enough sample size, then there is an issue with the drop rate itself, which would be the first thing that needs to be fixed before any pity timers are added.

Based on the data I have gathered so far, having a pity timer at 50 battles done by removing the amount of battles between after 50 between any arcane drops would result in a difference of ~2.5% in the number of average battles at which an arcane is received (less than 100 battles removed in a set of about 3600) and simply adding an extra arcane drop into my data at every 50th at which none was obtained produces almost the same result (5 arcanes added in a set of 210). This percentage is less than the amount that the drop rates tend to vary by for data sets of 10-20 arcanes gathered. Adding a pity timer won’t substantially affect the “economy”, nor will it be necessary to reduce overall drop rates to keep things even. Sometimes, what feels fair is more important than what actually is.

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@Mithran

I appreciate your record keeping, insight, and post on this topic. I only logged about half a thousand recent Explore attempts. And I’ve completely stopped at this point. My question is during these “streaks” did you record a similar simultaneous reduction in Runics and Celestials in addition to the Arcanes?

I know is a very small sample, My small Explore in Khetar showed a “suspicious” streak of drops falling at 1/2 Runic, 1/3 Arcane, and Celestials.

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Totally agree with you. Feel really deflated after all my hard work for 3-5 hours straight sometimes. It is very frustrating. Something does need to be done about this. As they just seem very very rare , Even though on all the explores they say you have x3 chance of finding them in that area, and all I get are minor ones constantly :confused: that doesn’t seem right to me.

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@Leah03

  1. What platform do you play on.
  2. What Kingdom were you ‘Exploring’
  3. What was you Runic, Arcane, Celestial drop rate…
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Unfortunately, I only recorded arcane drops. I track my stats using the battle counter for hero classes, making a note of the difference in total battles fought every time I get an arcane drop. It is the best way I could think of to gather the data I was actually interested in without significantly increasing the time cost to do so.

Since I’m not counting every single battle as they happen, I also pay attention to what “feels” like a really long time between arcane drops when I finally look at the number. I chose the number 50 as a good mark for the pity drop timer as it is usually when I’m approaching that number between drops that it starts to feel like you are wasting your time and it also would not significantly impact the number of arcanes handed out both short and long term. In the 20s, 30s, and even low 40s you can feel like it has been longer than usual but if you have a fast explore team, it doesn’t start to feel hopeless. 50+ is the mark where I’ve noted I personally feel like I’m wasting my time. I’ve only recorded this happening four times (five, if you count the one where I went 112 battles as two). 100+ has only happened once for me and feels like a huge waste of time… I can’t even imagine for someone that doesn’t have a 40 second clear explore team. Back to back gaps of 30+ can also feel pretty bad, but these are speed bumps that get smoothed out over time. Meanwhile, double and triple back to back drops elicit a feeling of “oh, neat” that fades within the next five minutes.

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Yes arcanes drop in streaks for me since April 1st 2016 on console and PC even longer.
It’s common to go 100+ battles doing explore without a single arcane drop. Next day you might log in and do 100 explore battles and get 20 stones.

Unfortunately all platforms of this game suffer from this problem.

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Hi.

I’m on the ps4 .
I search most areas .
I don’t know what the drop should be. I get more minor ones than I ever do arcane and celestial even though it states X2 or x3 chance more than the others

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No it’s 2-3x their own percentage chance of hitting. Not 2-3x more likely to appear than other stones.

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Oh right ok. Just be a bit more fair if there was something in place to make sure you got one after so many matches .

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Yes, Explore is “supposed” to be near:
18% Runic
6% Arcane
3% Celestial

Before I stopped I was seeing approximately
9% Runic
2% Arcane
1% Celestial

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i wish they would do this quickly for pulling mythics from chests, during the Queen Aurora drop i saw MANY people receiving the new mythic but i did not and i did spend 1300 gem keys on this event. i may not be as upset over this but in the same instance i did not pull ANY mythics during the use of these 1300 gem keys

Edit: also i have not received a mythic in several months. wish they would send me one just for kicks

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For mythics, I think we’re still waiting to hear what the crafting system will look like. Especially for mythics that we’ve already missed (Famine, are you out there?), that will hopefully put them back within reach. I’m never going to try using event keys to target a kingdom mythic again - that was not a good use of resources.

For Mythics, I’ve heard that the expected drop rate is about 1 in 10,000 for glory keys and 1 in 1000 for gem keys, so even with your 1300, you might not have been into pity timer territory yet. I really doubt they would implement a guaranteed drop rate at the same level as the expected or average drop rate. It would almost certainly have to be at 2 or 3 times the base number.

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