Describe your issue:
I have crafted 28 of the Floral Eggs since they were released.
As of today I have still only had 5 of the Dragons drop leaving me with 23 duplicates (pic below).
I am missing Orrissea which just won’t drop yet the 5 Dragons I do have, have dropped pretty evenly.
How can this be that 5 of the Dragons keep dropping but I can’t even get 1 copy of Orrissea. This is just so unfair and I wonder if there is an issue with my account.
I had 1 duplicate with the 1st lot of dragons and 7 duplicates with the 2nd lot and now 23 duplicates and counting.
You’ve just been unlucky. It took me 34 gem dragon eggs to get Sapphirax, so I know how frustrating / infuriating it can be.
The system really needs to be improved. Compared to someone who got all 6 in 6 eggs you’ve had to spend 16800 more dragonite. That is far too much considering how hard it is to obtain.
100% agree as well as a very poor experience for the player.
I play their other game Puzzle Quest 3 as well and that game has an item in the shop which you use your gems to purchase for a random gear item and you have a % chance to get a Mythic item. The best thing is that if you don’t receive a Mythic item after buying it 10 times, it’s 100% chance to get a Mythic item the next time.
How they have not applied the same strategy for the Dragons in GoW is just stupid and they wonder why players leave the game.
Applying the same strategy would mean after 10 duplicates your next egg would be a Dragon you don’t have. If still more Dragons are needed then the 10 duplicates counter would start again, at least this way you would only have to wait for 10 duplicates rather than 23+ like me at the moment.
You’ve picked up the (crappy) end of the stick when it comes to probability theory and projected outcomes. The scenario you’ve described is very unlikely, but it isn’t impossible.
Assuming the odds of getting a particular dragon from an egg is all even – i.e., each dragon has a 1-in-6 chance of dropping? The probability of a particular dragon not showing up in the entirety of that data set doesn’t drop below 1% until you’ve reached your 27th egg. Not seeing a single Orissea in 28 eggs is a relatively extreme outcome, probably a “three standard deviations from the mean” sort of thing…. but there’s still a ~0.73% chance that it wouldn’t happen in those 28 draws you describe. (And the same would apply to each of the other Flower dragons, which suggests that there’s more than a 4% chance to not have a complete set after 28 draws as opposed to simply having none of one specific dragon.)
It sucks, and you have my sympathies. But as you also pointed out in your opening post, you got the first set of dragons with very minimal duplicates and that is also a highly unlikely outcome. Meaning you’ve experienced both ends of the “luck spectrum”.
