Dragon egg plea to the DEV team

[canadademon]

32 is about right, according to this prob chart

More dragon egg issues

After pulling yet another dupe today, I realized that I was overcomplicating this problem. If I have X out of 6 dragons after Y pulls, the probability of me getting a new one is (6-X)/6. This is more easily written as a recursive function. Let P(x,y) be the probability of having x dragons after y pulls. Obviously P(1,1) = 1, as a base. Let’s say I have 4 dragons after 7 pulls. After 8, I have a 2/6 chance of getting 5, 4/6 of remaining at 4. (x,y) has a (x/6) chance to become (x,y+1), (6-x)/6 …

I’m waiting until I can craft 36 at once myself, as it’s the first 99% chance to get them all. OP’s 27 is only 96%.