Tribute statistics

[actreal]

@Grundulum

One of our forums archaeologists can no doubt come up with the thread where it was discussed.

Here’s the most recent thread IIRC, but it doesn’t come to a definitive conclusion: it shouldn’t be 21.2%, but it might not be 26% either.

1000 tributes collected. Here are the results. Worrying

I noted what amount of tributes I received for 1000 times. Before I start, an important precision: All my expected probabilities are for 30 kingdoms at 26% chance BUT all my 1000 tributes collected had better probabilities! The first 837 tributes I had 29 kingdoms at 26% and 1 at 36% (Ghulvania) and the last 163 tributes I had 28 kingdoms at 26% and 2 at 36% (Ghulvania and Khaziel). The probability to receive a tribute in the 0 to 6 tributes group is 30,3%. The probability to receive a tribut…