Tribue chance reduction with 3 stars?

Hello folks - I’m back after a week’s vacation!

Just looked at the code - the doubling of the tribute chance is very simple.

if kingdomPower >= 4 then chance = chance*2;

(Note that “4” is correct - grey star is 1, gold star is 2, etc.)

So I’d say that there is no bug with 3 gold stars somehow lowering your chance.

Fun math with binomial expansions!

If you have 20 kingdoms at 10% chance each, you have:

  • 12% chance of getting zero tribute.
  • 27% chance of getting 1 tribute.
  • 28.5% chance of getting 2 tributes.
  • 19% chance of getting 3 tributes.
  • 9.0% chance of getting 4 tributes.
  • 4.5% chance of getting 5+ tributes.

If you have 20 kingdoms at 20% chance each, you have:

  • 7.1% chance of getting zero or 1 tributes.
  • 13.7% chance of getting 2 tributes.
  • 20.5% chance of getting 3 tributes.
  • 21.8% chance of getting 4 tributes.
  • 36.9% chance of getting 5+ tributes.

The math gets harder for a mix of 10% and 20% kingdoms - so I can’t easily break this down farther.

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