# Odds for Dragon Eggs (if you need your last missing dragon)

**URL:** <https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/odds-for-dragon-eggs-if-you-need-your-last-missing-dragon/81190>\
**Category:** Gameplay Chat (PC/Mobile)\
**Created:** [September 4, 2023, 9:22am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/odds-for-dragon-eggs-if-you-need-your-last-missing-dragon/81190 "2023-09-04T09:22:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 5

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Stratelier](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/977dab/32.png) [@Stratelier](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Stratelier)\
**Post date:** [September 4, 2023, 3:26pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/odds-for-dragon-eggs-if-you-need-your-last-missing-dragon/81190/5 "2023-09-04T15:26:01Z")

</div>

Just going to note that the probabilities you stated are the CUMULATIVE values for the stated outcome – not the probability for that attempt _individually_ (which is always X / 6, X being the number of unowned dragons)

I’ve plotted this data myself previously, here is your probability of owning X dragons after N eggs, charted in various ways:

Stacked plot (all outcomes sum to 100%):

> [@How many Dragonite eggs to open to get 6 basic troops?](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/how-many-dragonite-eggs-to-open-to-get-6-basic-troops/80576/9):
>
> ![gemsof-dragons-vs-eggs](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/gemsofwar/original/3X/0/7/072e0aa5235c4cdb9f5b2ef8a4fd109d654b05c3.png)

Non-stacked plot (easier to compare each outcome):

> [@How many Dragonite eggs to open to get 6 basic troops?](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/how-many-dragonite-eggs-to-open-to-get-6-basic-troops/80576/9):
>
> ![gemsof-dragons-vs-eggs-scatter](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/gemsofwar/original/3X/b/c/bc86e3ff8c015c2318be1d2d2c807391c5183493.png)

Y-logarithmic plot (each outcome trends towards an exponential decay of \*(X/6):

> [@How many Dragonite eggs to open to get 6 basic troops?](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/how-many-dragonite-eggs-to-open-to-get-6-basic-troops/80576/9):
>
> ![gemsof-dragons-vs-eggs-log](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/gemsofwar/original/3X/d/a/daaf7662789234de0a0c2856decb5e7a3ba55251.png)

---

_[View the full topic](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/odds-for-dragon-eggs-if-you-need-your-last-missing-dragon/81190)._