# Math people: what is the chance of this? **URL:** \ **Category:** Gameplay Chat (PC/Mobile)\ **Created:** [February 7, 2017, 5:21pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738 "2017-02-07T17:21:31Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 6\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![brandonwiker](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/brandonwiker/32/14837_2.png) [@brandonwiker](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/brandonwiker)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 5:21pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/1 "2017-02-07T17:21:32Z")
To preface, I just got my first 0 tribute gold collect in probably 3 months. I’d like to figure out the odds of me getting 0 tributes when: -I have all kingdoms at level 10, including Silverglade -All kingdoms EXCEPT for Silverglade, Blackhawk, and Dragon’s Claw have three gold stars for double tribute chance -Guild red statue is at 106 for bonus 6% tribute chance ---
**Author:** ![Sidousai](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/sidousai/32/604_2.png) [@Sidousai](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Sidousai)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 5:26pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/2 "2017-02-07T17:26:18Z")
Probably just a network hiccup. Happens sometimes. Just… collect more often man ---
**Author:** ![Lyya](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/lyya/32/3650_2.png) [@Lyya](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Lyya)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 5:26pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/3 "2017-02-07T17:26:25Z")
Pretty low. For the sake of simplification, let’s say you’re looking at 27 kingdoms at 26% tribute chance. The odds of receiving no tribute from a kingdom is 74%. The odds of receiving no tribute 27 times is 0.7427 ~= 0.00029461607, or about 0.03%, or about 1 in 3400. ---
**Author:** ![Isis\_Kitty](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/isis_kitty/32/9189_2.png) [@Isis\_Kitty](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Isis_Kitty)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 5:30pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/4 "2017-02-07T17:30:29Z")
Lol, it happens. And the more often you collect, statistically speaking, the more likely it is that different combinations will come up. I think I’ve gotten 0 kingdom tribute about 3 times since the beginning of 2017. edit: or maybe all my luck is going into getting new mythics during their exclusive week…without spending gobs of resources [My Troops/resources](http://ashtender.com/gems/collection/dba9fa26b7ab3c4530aa8dd58d68bbc9) ---
**Author:** ![brandonwiker](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/brandonwiker/32/14837_2.png) [@brandonwiker](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/brandonwiker)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 5:31pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/5 "2017-02-07T17:31:56Z")
Haha I don’t really care what caused it, I’m not mad or anything. It actually almost made me laugh because I realized how crummy my luck was just then. @Lyya thanks, that was super fast, I knew I would have to think “Ok, there is an 80% chance for each kingdom that it will not tribute.” I feel old, because I passed calculus in high school with a B+ and I couldn’t remember how to figure this out without having to research online… ---
**Author:** ![Vangor](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/vangor/32/31404_2.png) [@Vangor](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Vangor)\ **Post date:** [February 7, 2017, 8:10pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/math-people-what-is-the-chance-of-this/19738/6 "2017-02-07T20:10:58Z")
Excellent math my friend!