# Is clockwork sphinx in chests?

**URL:** <https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/is-clockwork-sphinx-in-chests/39527>\
**Category:** Gameplay Chat (PC/Mobile)\
**Created:** [May 14, 2018, 7:10am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/is-clockwork-sphinx-in-chests/39527 "2018-05-14T07:10:47Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![PGSundling](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/pgsundling/32/39480_2.png) [@PGSundling](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/PGSundling)\
**Post date:** [May 14, 2018, 7:10am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/is-clockwork-sphinx-in-chests/39527/1 "2018-05-14T07:10:47Z")

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It was 4 weeks since that rare was created. Is it in chests tonight? I spent 1,000 gold keys without one. I wanted to see if anyone had gotten any.

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**Author:** ![PGSundling](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/pgsundling/32/39480_2.png) [@PGSundling](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/PGSundling)\
**Post date:** [May 14, 2018, 7:14am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/is-clockwork-sphinx-in-chests/39527/2 "2018-05-14T07:14:29Z")

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There it goes in second 2000. It’s verified. Time to chase the new kingdom.

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**Author:** ![Slypenslyde](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/slypenslyde/32/30373_2.png) [@Slypenslyde](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Slypenslyde)\
**Post date:** [May 14, 2018, 3:15pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/is-clockwork-sphinx-in-chests/39527/3 "2018-05-14T15:15:31Z")

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You sort of just proved the stats are right. The drop rate for this particular troop is so low that 1,000 keys is only about an 80% chance. If you think that sounds like a safe bet I invite you to try a Pokemon playthrough with all 85% accuracy moves. 1 in 5 chance of failure hits more common than you’d think.

Bumping it up to 2,000 keys gives you 97% probability, which is where I start to believe in “safe bets”.
