# Fun math around Myth drop rates **URL:** \ **Category:** Gameplay Chat (General)\ **Created:** [December 12, 2017, 11:20am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/fun-math-around-myth-drop-rates/33905 "2017-12-12T11:20:03Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 5
**Author:** ![turintuor](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/turintuor/32/4097_2.png) [@turintuor](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/turintuor)\ **Post date:** [December 12, 2017, 1:58pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/fun-math-around-myth-drop-rates/33905/5 "2017-12-12T13:58:14Z")
As said on the other topic, average is nice but ask too much data. So yeah after some/a lot of trials (with one trial equal on succesful drop of one Mythic), you will be on the average, but it doesn’t help to know how much we need to be almost sure to obtain one Mythic. So in resume, to have a 95% chance to drop one Mythic when he’s the only in the drop pool, it’s more or less x3 what you said: > [@Are the daily Gem Bounties worth it?](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/are-the-daily-gem-bounties-worth-it/31394/31): > > From [taransworld](http://www.taransworld.com/Chest/), we can have some stats. If you take the week of 10/02/2017 for a one-Mythic-exclusive week: with 100 VIP chests, you have 63% to obtain the Mythic need 300 VIP chests for a 95% to drop it almost the same for gem keys, 1000 for 63%, 3000 for 95% --- _[View the full topic](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/fun-math-around-myth-drop-rates/33905)._