# Exactly what are the odds? **URL:** \ **Category:** Gameplay Chat (PC/Mobile)\ **Created:** [October 7, 2015, 9:52pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873 "2015-10-07T21:52:40Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 9\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Skippygammons](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/skippygammons/32/2103_2.png) [@Skippygammons](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Skippygammons)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2015, 9:52pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/1 "2015-10-07T21:52:41Z")
Who’s great with math! I’ve got a serious question. For you 🙂 What are the chances of getting the SAME legendary 6 times? Just curious. I opened 100+ keys. Got a Gloom Leaf! Got a Gloom Leaf 5 more times… Hmm… Is it just me or did the I just get screwed? One is awesome. Two is probably still feasible. 6? I clearly just lost out on 5 other very awesome legendaries due to this. What a a bummer. ![](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/gemsofwar/original/1X/62367fb999c9bf9a7ffee7ec5b9cb8e4809cc428.jpg) ---
**Author:** ![sethrogensbackhair](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/sethrogensbackhair/32/563_2.png) [@sethrogensbackhair](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/sethrogensbackhair)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2015, 10:17pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/2 "2015-10-07T22:17:07Z")
not as improbable as my 20 something gloom leafs 😁 ---
**Author:** ![utfanx2](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/utfanx2/32/525_2.png) [@utfanx2](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/utfanx2)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2015, 10:35pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/3 "2015-10-07T22:35:45Z")
Without including imps, there are 20 Legendaries. With a 1% chance to get a legendary and a 1/20 chance to get Gloom leaf, I would say about an .008% chance to get 6 in a row. Or, one in 800k. ---
**Author:** ![actreal](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/actreal/32/1945_2.png) [@actreal](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/actreal)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2015, 11:20pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/4 "2015-10-07T23:20:44Z")
Actually, since he’s only considering the Legendaries he got (i.e. excluding all the Commons and Rares he no doubt also got) they’re not in a row. So if you got 6 Legendaries out of 100 keys, the odds that all 6 are the same Legendary is 20 x 0.05^6 = 0.00003% or 1 in 3.2 million. Mind you, 6 Legendaries out of 100 keys sounds pretty lucky, so maybe consider the extra 5 Gloom Leafs as bonus disenchant souls? ---
**Author:** ![Zelfore](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/zelfore/32/22295_2.png) [@Zelfore](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Zelfore)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2015, 12:30am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/5 "2015-10-08T00:30:16Z")
It’s actually a pretty near fact that your chances of getting a legendary you already own is higher than that of a new one. But considering we don’t know the exact number for legends you own, the numbers can’t be easily calculated. ---
**Author:** ![temmie143](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/temmie143/32/239_2.png) [@temmie143](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/temmie143)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2015, 2:52am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/6 "2015-10-08T02:52:01Z")
Funny you mention this, since I have the opposite problem. I usually only get 1 to 2 legendaries for every 100 keys. ---
**Author:** ![IVIMarkIVI](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/bbe5ce/32.png) [@IVIMarkIVI](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/IVIMarkIVI)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2015, 3:53pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/7 "2015-10-08T15:53:18Z")
My first 2 legendaries were the same card, then I got a different one… Have well over 100 keys ---
**Author:** ![IVIMarkIVI](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/bbe5ce/32.png) [@IVIMarkIVI](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/IVIMarkIVI)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2015, 4:19pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/8 "2015-10-08T16:19:19Z")
@actreal and your calculations are for getting any 1 legendary, not specifically Gloom Leaf correct? ---
**Author:** ![actreal](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/actreal/32/1945_2.png) [@actreal](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/actreal)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2015, 10:12pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/exactly-what-are-the-odds/873/9 "2015-10-08T22:12:04Z")
> [@IVIMarkIVI](#): > > @actreal and your calculations are for getting any 1 legendary, not specifically Gloom Leaf correct? Yes, because OP’s complaint would be the same if he’d got 6 Molochs instead. For specifically Gloom Leaf, the probablity is 20 times less likely, or 1 in 64 million.