# Death Mark, new hotness, or basic?

**URL:** <https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/death-mark-new-hotness-or-basic/9634>\
**Category:** Gameplay Chat (PC/Mobile)\
**Created:** [July 15, 2016, 4:17pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/death-mark-new-hotness-or-basic/9634 "2016-07-15T16:17:52Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 24

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lyya](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/lyya/32/3650_2.png) [@Lyya](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Lyya)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2016, 1:32am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/death-mark-new-hotness-or-basic/9634/24 "2016-07-16T01:32:11Z")

</div>

> [@TaliaParks](#):
>
> On the Console a status effect can wear off turn 1, wonder if it’s the same for PC

Well, assuming it’s true, and assuming the best case – that the cleanse occurs before Death Mark would otherwise kill the troop – what that means is there’s a 10% chance for the troop to have 100% chance to survive, and 90% chance for the troop to have 90% chance to survive. That means that on turn 1, any given troop afflicted with Death Mark would have a chance of (0.1 \* 1) + (0.9 \* 0.9), or 91% chance to survive, instead of the 90% I was assuming before.

That means that the chance of all 4 troops surviving one round of Death Mark is (0.91)^4, or about 68.5%. Still works out to about 31.5% chance of losing one troop before you can do anything about it, which is much worse than the odds you get with just about everything else.

If you don’t lose a troop on turn 1 and you cannot cleanse, then the odds for all troops to survive round 2 become: ((0.1 \* 1) + (0.9 \* ((0.2 \* 1) + (0.8 \* 0.9))))^4, or about 0.74, which is 74%. That means the total odds of surviving two rounds without losing a troop are (about) 50%. There’s a 50% chance you’ll lose at least one troop in two rounds.

EDIT: Forgot to factor in the “cleansed in turn 1” factor to the turn 2 survival rate.  
EDIT 2: Was corrected on Death Mark’s 10% odds not increasing over time. Lowers the number a lot, but still 50%.

---

_[View the full topic](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/death-mark-new-hotness-or-basic/9634)._