# 50% Chance to Devour is Broken, but not?

**URL:** <https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/50-chance-to-devour-is-broken-but-not/50983>\
**Category:** Feature Requests and Game feedback\
**Created:** [January 13, 2019, 7:58pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/50-chance-to-devour-is-broken-but-not/50983 "2019-01-13T19:58:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 12

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**Author:** ![Amadan](https://sea1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/user_avatar/community.gemsofwar.com/amadan/32/7653_2.png) [@Amadan](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/Amadan)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2019, 3:19pm UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/50-chance-to-devour-is-broken-but-not/50983/12 "2019-01-14T15:19:56Z")

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> [@Nos37](#):
>
> I just want 50% chance 100% of the time

> [@Nos37](#):
>
> While the success rate in the long run is ~50%

Ta da! Wish granted!

The way probabilities for independent events work is that they get closer and closer to the given chance when you have more and more trials - in other words, the success rate _is_ the long term rate. If you have a 50/50 chance, then 3 runs in a row could be damn near anything. 10 runs in a row _might_ be five As and five Bs…but probably not. 100 runs in a row would probably be closer to fifty As and fifty Bs, but almost certainly not exact. A billion runs in a row would probably be reeeeeally close to half a billion As and half a billion Bs - and if you “zoomed in” to any given run of three in a row inside that set of a billion, then those three would be right back to the “damn near anything” that we started with.

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_[View the full topic](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/50-chance-to-devour-is-broken-but-not/50983)._
