# 0/22 how long do i keep playing? **URL:** \ **Category:** Uncategorized\ **Created:** [May 29, 2024, 6:34am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/0-22-how-long-do-i-keep-playing/84295 "2024-05-29T06:34:48Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 6
**Author:** ![canadademon](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/e9bcb4/32.png) [@canadademon](https://community.gemsofwar.com/u/canadademon)\ **Post date:** [May 31, 2024, 5:08am UTC](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/0-22-how-long-do-i-keep-playing/84295/6 "2024-05-31T05:08:41Z")
Here’s the probability chart: > [@More dragon egg issues](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/more-dragon-egg-issues/78755/18): > > After pulling yet another dupe today, I realized that I was overcomplicating this problem. If I have X out of 6 dragons after Y pulls, the probability of me getting a new one is (6-X)/6. This is more easily written as a recursive function. Let P(x,y) be the probability of having x dragons after y pulls. Obviously P(1,1) = 1, as a base. Let’s say I have 4 dragons after 7 pulls. After 8, I have a 2/6 chance of getting 5, 4/6 of remaining at 4. (x,y) has a (x/6) chance to become (x,y+1), (6-x)/6 … 36 eggs is the first time you hit 99% probability. By 50 you should have it for sure. I got tired of waiting for dragonite (and Tacet has a tendancy to build teams with dragons) so I spent some and happened to get the gem dragon group in 15 eggs. Still haven’t built the weapons yet because I want to get the celestial group first. Good luck. --- _[View the full topic](https://community.gemsofwar.com/t/0-22-how-long-do-i-keep-playing/84295)._